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Golden Hour — Assumption Log

Project: Golden Hour Divestiture

Executive Summary

This assumption log documents the key assumptions used in the Golden Hour Separation Economics analysis. It is designed to make the model auditable by linking source inputs, assumptions, calculation references, confidence levels, and scenario impact.

Key Metrics / Facts

Purpose
Traceability
Project
Golden Hour Divestiture
Assumptions tracked
5
High-impact assumptions
3
Validated
1
Open / Needs diligence
4

Main Report Body

Assumption Log

IDCategorySource InputAssumptionCalculation ReferenceConfidenceScenario ImpactStatus
A-001HR / PeopleHR census25% of shared roles remain partially stranded for 12-24 monthsHR stranded cost rangeMediumHighNeeds validation
A-002IT / TechnologyERP dependency mapERP separation requires 18-36 month TSA supportIT stranded cost rangeLow-MediumHighOpen
A-003FinanceFinance operating modelRemainCo retains reporting, close, controls, and budgeting supportFinance support estimateMediumMediumValidated
A-004Contracts / ProcurementVendor contract listVolume reduction may trigger repricing for top vendorsProcurement dis-synergy estimateLowHighNeeds diligence
A-005Revenue Dis-SynergiesCustomer relationship dataReduced cross-sell access creates revenue leakage during transitionRevenue dis-synergy rangeLowMediumOpen

Traceability Flow

InputAssumptionCalculationOutput
HR censusPartial retained rolesHR stranded costNet proceeds bridge
ERP mapTSA support periodIT separation rangeDownside case
Vendor contractsRepricing riskProcurement impactData gap flag
Customer dataCross-sell leakageRevenue dis-synergyRecommendation

Open Items

  • Validate HR stay/go classification
  • Confirm ERP TSA duration
  • Review top 12 vendor contract repricing terms
  • Validate customer cross-sell dependency
  • Assign functional owners to remaining assumptions

Recommendations

  • Require owner sign-off for high-impact assumptions
  • Separate validated assumptions from placeholders
  • Use confidence badges in all report outputs
  • Maintain assumption change history before final delivery
Synthetic data for capstone demonstration. Not a valuation opinion, fairness opinion, legal advice, tax advice, or financial due diligence conclusion.